We have Lynch polling in 6 games in the season, while Gawn is a chance in 7 games. Cam Guthrie 10 vs Hugh McCluggage McCluggage has been ignored by umpires in previous Brownlow counts but surely he gets some attention this season. Ollie Wines We know from last year that Ollie Wines garners the attention of the umpires as the Brownlow Medallist, however his form did tail off this year and will be competing for votes with the likes of Boak and Rozee. Luke Parker can certainly be seen as an over-poller in recent years however did trail off in the back end of the season.

The likes of Mills, Warner and Heeney will all be competing for votes here. We give Wines the slight edge. Summary Overall the Draftstars team have come up with some pretty solid Brownlow match ups. Good luck if following! Always remember to gamble responsibly. Brownlow Medal Predictions 18 September The Stats Insider AFL Brownlow Medal predictions are here, with this season's voting simulated over 10, times in order to find the most likely outcomes and the best betting value. Our algorithm aims to identify the players who the umpires officiating that game would have selected as the best three players, and in which order.

As well as the predictions below, our free downloadable guide features 60 pages of detailed Brownlow Medal information, including projected votes for every single game of the season, as well as fair odds and probabilities for place markets and each team's leading vote getter. Download Stats Insider's comprehensive Brownlow Medal report here.

Sign Up To Download Loading When modelling the Brownlow Medal, Stats Insider's data analysts gather hundreds of data points from every AFL game between and This data is used to train a machine learning regression model on past votes to determine which variables were those most likely to catch the eye of the umpires, and thus correlate to Brownlow Medal votes for that game.

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This typically means if a player can play consistent football throughout the majority of the AFL season in a team that has on-field success, he will invariably poll a significant chunk of votes by the end of the season. However, a team that has multiple stars will have players taking votes off each other.

It is simply a by-product of team success. As a point of reference: from all the way through to , only twice has a player won the Brownlow and won the premiership in the same year. In the period between and , there have been very few non-midfielders take home the Brownlow. Lance Franklin entered the Brownlow count as one of the big favourites in after being the first player in almost 20 years to kick goals in the home and away season, but this was only enough to elevate the former Hawk to sixth on the board.

Brownlow betting is a stats game It is a long-held view that modern football is too stats heavy and that numbers do not tell the entire story, but this is not exactly the case in Brownlow Medal betting. Sign Up To Download Loading When modelling the Brownlow Medal, Stats Insider's data analysts gather hundreds of data points from every AFL game between and This data is used to train a machine learning regression model on past votes to determine which variables were those most likely to catch the eye of the umpires, and thus correlate to Brownlow Medal votes for that game.

Stats Insider users can access Brownlow predictions for this season along with a detailed report that is available as a free download. The report features our model's main contenders, team votes, probabilities of leading after rounds 5 and 10, as well as round-by-round data for each and every AFL match of season Having correctly predicted the last three winners of the Brownlow, including the top four in the exact order, Stats Insider's Brownlow report is the best in the business.

Brownlow Odds: Get the Best Betting Value After our team of data analysts correctly predicted the exact order of the top three last year, our highly anticipated Brownlow Medal predictor has arrived.

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