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The Broncos just can't get right on offense and have been unable to get into the end zone. The Chargers are getting healthier but will still be without Keenan Allen. They should win, but I'm not looking for any kind of offensive explosion here. That's even without taking into consideration that Wilson is a little banged up -- and I'm awfully inclined to agree.

At some point, we have to believe what the Broncos are telling us: They are a poor offensive team. And yes, the advantage is flipped on the other side of the ball, but defense is much more variant from game to game than offense. All in all, there's good reason to back the Chargers here. When Saquon Barkley slid down at the 1-yard line, did that mess up your fantasy team or your bets?

Come commiserate with Jason Fitz over the best bad beats of the weekend. Moody: The Broncos and Chargers are likely to play a low-scoring game. Wilson is playing through a shoulder injury, and in five games, he has completed just Allen will miss another game for the Chargers, but Los Angeles still ranks ninth in points per game Denver's offensive woes are well known, with the team ranked 31st in points per game My recommendation is to bet the under.

The Chargers are a balanced team and should cover the spread. Denver has lost six consecutive Monday Night Football games and is against the spread in its past eight road games. Marks: I'm playing the under on Monday night. Denver's offense is averaging 16 points per game and it has the worst red zone offense in the NFL.

Denver's games this season have averaged just 31 combined points. Herbert is currently ranked second in passing yards with 1, through five games played. He sits just behind Josh Allen and just ahead of Tom Brady. FREE to play! No division title, no MVP. Wilson has been held under passing yards in four of the Broncos' five games. The Chargers are ranked 12th in passing defense, allowing What are your thoughts? Walder: I'll take a different Wilson prop: over It's sticking with the same thesis that the Chargers are going to be ahead in this one, and the Broncos are going to have no choice but to have Wilson throw it.

I feel more confident in the quantity of attempts than the quality. Snellings: I'll go with the over in yards, but I'm not touching the touchdowns. I expect the Broncos to be playing from behind with lots of passing, and I've seen them move the ball in spurts. What I haven't yet seen them do is punch it in from the red zone. Moody: Due to Wilson's shoulder injury, the Broncos should limit his passing attempts.

I agree with what Vegas has listed. In my opinion, those numbers represent Wilson's ceiling. What are your thoughts on the spread and the total? Who do you like? Fortenbaugh: I'd open a 6-point teaser with Kansas City that would move the Chiefs from -7 to -1 and would close it with the under in the Thursday night game between Chicago and Washington Week 6 that would move the total from 40 up to I don't think you need much explanation on the latter, considering those offenses as well as what we've seen on Thursday nights so far this season, so allow me to expound upon the former: I need the Chiefs to win by two points at home on Monday night against a Raiders squad that hasn't shown much of anything this season.

Schatz: I like playing the total in this matchup and would go under The Chiefs' offense is very efficient, but it plays at a bit of a slow pace. The Raiders' offense hasn't been as good as expected. This is also a division game, which tend to be a little lower-scoring on average.

I know that both teams have gone over this number in two out of four games this year, but it's a pretty high number. Snellings: I like the Chiefs The Chiefs flat-out owned the Raiders last season, winning the two games by a combined score of The Chiefs scored at least 41 points in both games and could have scored more if they hadn't taken their foot off the gas. The Chiefs are coming off an excellent game against an extremely tough Buccaneers defense, and the offense looks sharp.

Meanwhile, the Raiders are coming off their first win but have not looked impressive this season. Moody: Mahomes continues to lead the Chiefs to great success with his excellent play -- 1, yards, 11 touchdowns, just two interceptions and a passer rating of He has also rushed 13 times for 64 yards. If Mahomes continues to play at an elite level and I believe he will , the Chiefs will cover the spread.

It's also necessary for the Chiefs defense to stop the run and force the Raiders into mistakes. Last season, the Chiefs annihilated the Raiders twice. They'll do it again. In their last 15 games, the Chiefs are against the spread. Furthermore, the over is in Kansas City's last 12 games. Marks: This game can go one of two ways -- KC blowing out the Raiders like they typically do, averaging 35 points per game or the Raiders keeping it close with a commitment to running the ball, and a new defensive strategy.

Las Vegas will get Hunter Renfrow back, but it will still be a tall task to keep up with the Mahomes. I have KC winning by a TD. Mahomes has dominated the Raiders in the past. What are your thoughts on his MVP chances, as well as his passing yards FREE to play!

There are lots of good candidates this year, and certainly Lamar Jackson is the leader with the way he has carried the Baltimore Ravens , but Mahomes is still the better bet in the long term. Fulghum: I would not bet against Mahomes in a primetime game, at home, against the Raiders. The Chiefs are favored by a touchdown. The total is north of If I see those peripherals, I have to imagine Mahomes is going to put on a show. It's over or pass for me -- and I particularly love the price of betting over 2.

Allen has been impressive, but the narrative of Mahomes keeping the Chiefs on top after the departure of Tyreek Hill is the type of storyline that wins MVPs. As for Monday, I like Mahomes for over The Raiders have been slightly below average in passing yards allowed 20th in the NFL , 1 yard ahead of the Cardinals -- the only defense this season that has allowed Mahomes more than Mahomes has gone under in three straight games, but against some really strong defenses, including last week in Tampa Bay.

I think he's due for a big game on Monday night versus a division rival against which he has historically had strong games. Moody: Mahomes has a great chance to win MVP. With his excellent playmaking and superb accuracy, he's overcome the talent limitations of his WR room. Hill's absence hasn't hurt the Chiefs offense.

Keeping the positive momentum going is key for Mahomes and the Chiefs.

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Post by: Llamahead I've got more done than I expected to this weekend.

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